With all the accusations that Barack Obama is a socialist, I thought it might be fun to consider the following theory. With all the national trends moving against the Republicans, there have been many lefty bloggers and liberal pundits (both of them) who have wondered why Barack Obama's polling numbers haven't been higher. I believe, after not a whole lot of careful thought, that the reason is simple - his politics are far too conventional. Were Barack Obama really as liberal as the nuts believe him to be, I think he would be so far ahead, we would be looking at a 48, 49 state sweep. Even Utah wouldn't be safe. As it is, there are few calculations that have McCain able to overcome his current Electoral College deficit. It is important to remember that George Bush won his two elections by one state, Florida in 2000 and Ohio in 2004. Obama is pretty much guaranteed to keep the states Kerry won, plus pick up a few others, such as Virginia, Missouri, and possibly Florida. While it is still technically possible for the popular vote count to be close, I still don't see McCain polling more than 46%, in which case the dread word "mandate" might just start looming around Obama.
Thoughts? Comments? Dissensions?
