Tuesday, May 08, 2012

Tuning Out Without Turning On

Matt Taibbi's column in Rolling Stone sums it up pretty well:
The apathy factor in American presidential politics has seemingly never been higher. As if to combat this, we're getting stories now about how this election is closer than you'd think, how Obama is in for a "tight race" or a "fierce fight" with Romney, and how the Republican challenger is "closing in" to a "statistical dead heat." They're going to say this, and they may even have numbers to back it up, like this week's Gallup poll showing Obama with just a two-point lead. But I think it's a mirage. The people who work for the wire services and the news networks are physically incapable of writing sentences like, "This election is even more over than the Knicks-Heat series." They are required, if not by law then by neurological reflex, to describe every presidential campaign as "fierce" and "drawn-out" and "hotly-contested." But this campaign, relatively speaking, will not be fierce or hotly contested. Instead it'll be disappointing, embarrassing, and over very quickly, like a hand job in a Bangkok bathhouse. And everybody knows it. It's just impossible to take Mitt Romney seriously as a presidential candidate. Even the news reporters who are paid to drum up dramatic undertones are having a hard time selling Romney as half of a titanic title bout. 
--snip--
Obviously Republican voters do hate Obama and genuinely believe he's created a brutally repressive socialist paradigm with his health care law, among other things. But Romney was a pioneer of health care laws, and there will be dampened enthusiasm on the Republican side for putting him in office. Meanwhile, Obama has turned out to represent continuity with the Bush administration on a range of key issues, from torture to rendition to economic deregulation. Obama is doing things with extralegal drone strikes that would have liberals marching in the streets if they'd been done by Bush.
I've said much the same thing. Despite the many weaknesses Pres. Obama has displayed, there is no way Mitt Romney can win this year. This is a pity, really. Were the Republican Party the Party of Eisenhower and Robert Taft (at least the good Taft, not the McCarthy-coddler), it might raise a protest or two about the continued abuses of Executive authority and power, including an ongoing program run out of NSA to spy on American communications begun shortly after the 9/11 terrorist attacks. Sad to say, the Republicans hitched their wagons not to these men of (relatively speaking) honor and integrity, but rather to Richard Milhouse Nixon, Ronald Reagan, and George W. Bush. Add to that the on-going freak out on the right because the incumbent is (a) black and (b) has a non-Western name and we have this horrid stew of ugliness driving an already teetering party in to the morass of insanity where it currently festers.

I care deeply about politics. I care even more about governance. Because I care about politics and even more about governance, I am not, as I have stated previously, voting for Barack Obama in November, for precisely the reasons Taibbi outlines above (and many more, not least his on-going reticence regarding gay marriage; why this has to be about his comfort with the matter is beyond me, considering LBJ's well-known personal attitude toward African-Americans that was no barrier to him being a great leader for Civil Rights among our political class). Obviously, Mitt Romney does not deserve the votes of anyone who actually cares about governance. This is going to be among the more dull election years in living memory, with the possible exception of 1984.

Wake me when it's over, if you would, please.

7 comments:

Alan said...

Yup, yup, and yup. (Well, except for the last part.)

I can't help but giggle every time someone asserts this is the most important election of our generation.

Geoffrey Kruse-Safford said...

LOL. I know.

Geoffrey Kruse-Safford said...

Even the 1996 election had Dole/Kemp leading Clinton/Gore for about a week after the Republican convention. There was a day or two there where some were actually worried.

Parklife said...

Last time around was pretty dull. With the economy taking a nosedive, it was clear the dems would win. With that in mind, the best quote I read recently was something to the effect of.. with an economy this bad how could we win.. with republican candidates this bad how could we lose.

Mitt-Bot 3000 is just soo bad. But he will pick a woman as his VP candidate (see they dont hate women after all), then the convention will get all the conservatives rilled up. It seems more like the real candidates (Christie / Rubio) are looking to the next cycle.

Even after all this, things could be close. Even John Kerry put up a fight.

Geoffrey Kruse-Safford said...

I agree 2008 was bad. Even if the economy hadn't decided to take the big plunge, Bush and the Republicans were so despised, the Democrats could have nominated a corpse and won. Memories of the election are tainted as much by concern over whether and how the economy might land as whether McCain or Obama would win.

John Kerry didn't really stand a chance. He was a lousy candidate at a time when someone with skill and understanding and a bit more, I don't know, willingness to alter the discussion was needed. I only voted for him because I knew Bush was going to win, and I did not want to go on record as having done my part in getting him re-elected.

Before the conventions, I think we'll see recent up-and-down poll numbers start to stabilize. As long as there isn't some catastrophe or huge Obama bungle, being a great campaigner should make this a slow walk to November for the President. Which, to repeat, is not a good thing.

Alan said...

I always enjoy this part of the election cycle because the press natters on and on about minutia while simultaneously admitting that the electorate does not pay attention to any of it until after August.

So, they have to shout about how This. Is. The. Most. Important. Election. In. The. UNIVERSE! Because if it really were, we'd probably notice.

Geoffrey Kruse-Safford said...

I know. Ah, well. At least we have the Olympics this year.

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